Pennsylvania in 1771. Dunbar, who frequently exchanged meteorological observations
with Jefferson, claimed that deforestation actually made summers and winters more
extreme. “I would enquire,” he wrote in an article published in the Transactions of the American Philosophical Society , “whether a partial clearing extending 30 or 40 miles square, may not be expected
to produce a contrary effect by admitting with full liberty, the sunbeams upon the
discovered surface of the earth in summer, and promoting during winter a free circulation
of cold northern air.”
Timothy Dwight, a Massachusetts cleric and educator who, like his contemporary Jefferson,
loved to collect weather data, also rejected the argument that American winters were
growing milder. Dwight pointed to numerous very cold and snowy winters in the thirty
years since independence that rivaled any of the formidable seasons of the seventeenth
or early eighteenth centuries. Besides, discussions of changing climates seemed pointless
to Dwight without adequate statistical data. “Few, if any, registers were kept in
former times,” Dwight noted, and fewer still had been published. “Hence the comparisons
of our present climate with that of former periods must be extremely defective.”
Climate scientists now know that deforestation of large areas can cause prolonged
droughts and exaggerate seasonal variations in temperature, such that summers become
much warmer and winters much colder. Dunbar was partially correct in his conclusions,
although he failed to understand how forest canopies maintain the climate beneath
them. Forests insulate their environment not only by reflecting sunlight but also
by trapping moisture; plant roots help to retain water in the ground, while the canopy
prevents water vapor from escaping into the air above. Remove the forest, and the
moisture in the soil quickly escapes; winds then transport the water vapor hundreds
or thousands of miles away. This starts a vicious cycle: Less water in the soil leads
to less evaporation into the air, which can lead—when applied to an area of hundreds
of square miles or more—to less rainfall, which in turn leads to less water in the
soil. What rain does fall will often be unable to penetrate into the dry, hard soil,
further increasing the risk of devastating droughts.
Summers become hotter in deforested areas not only because more sunlight reaches the
surface, as Dunbar argued, but also because there is less moisture in the soil to
cool the ground through evaporation. Water in the soil performs the same function
as sweat does in humans; with little moisture to evaporate, bare ground quickly warms
in the sunlight. Without the insulating effects of the forest canopy, winter temperatures
can drop rapidly as the heat stored in the soil is lost to the atmosphere. There is
no evidence to support Dunbar’s link between deforestation and stronger northerly
winds, although generally forests do act as a brake on the local wind speeds, regardless
of the direction. The effects of deforestation on local temperatures and rainfall
can be mitigated where the forests are replaced with other ground cover, such as shrubs
or crops, instead of simply left as bare soil.
If deforestation had, in fact, transformed their climate, Americans were ambivalent
about the desirability of that change. On the one hand, the early colonists viewed
the virgin North American forests as dangerous and evil places, the preserve of the
devil (and, not coincidentally, Native Americans). They and their descendants believed
they had a duty to level what Nathaniel Hawthorne termed the “heathen wilderness.”
Turning a dense and dark forest filled with “stagnant air” and “rank vegetation” into
productive farmland to support a Christian community seemed to fulfill God’s plan
for the New World. Yet by the early nineteenth century, Americans in the